>>9570
Iran is isolated and its vaunted Axis of Resistance has been proven to be largely worthless aside from the Houthis.
Israel can cause a lot of mess because its population has at least 1 standard deviation advantage in intelligence over the Ayyrabs around them and have (so far) the steadfast backing of the US, but there's little potential for it to draw in major outside powers in a way that would amount to a world war of any sort. Whatever Middle Eastern conflict that happens will remain regional, with US coming in to bomb whoever threatens oil prices but otherwise keeping a distance. Russia and China showed how much they care for Iran in the last bout of Israeli bombings (very little). No one else will seriously challenge the US in the near future.
>>9576
Countries are able to put up a much more brutal fight when their population is convinced the war is existential and becomes willing to endure immense hardship to see it through. Neither Putin nor his heir will be able to sell any offensive campaign into the EU as the third Patriotic War that would result in that level of commitment. Especially not after the fiasco of his three-day SMO. His regime doesn't have anywhere near enough buy-in from the population to be able to impose the necessary sacrifices on the Russian population without destroying itself.
>>9593
Russia dragging its feet in properly mobilizing for war is very revealing of Putin's own confidence in how much Russians are willing to bleed for his war. So far, Russia's recruitment drive is heavily dependent on emptying prisons and offering very generous (by Russian standards) payments to (disproportionately ethnic minority) desperate men rather than heavy-handed coercion like Ukraine does.
>>9641
This is the only thing that can salvage the 21st century from massive global immiseration. Bernds better hope the tech hype around AGI/ASI is well founded. Without fooming, the world is heading to a very grim place, with or without a major global conflict.